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Red262
359201.8
6700116.3
3011119.5
Blue383
2122218.6
6041109.5
4334177.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252391100200300500600262383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#4
201.80.7
191.4192.1
Auto22.5
Teleop142.3
End36.8
blue by 16.7
218.62.8
199.2201.9
Auto27.0
Teleop154.1
End38.1
Second
119.50.2
113.5113.7
Auto20.4
Teleop93.2
End6.2
blue by 57.9
4334
#15
177.41.2
171.8173.0
Auto21.5
Teleop138.0
End18.3
Third
6700
#29
116.34.2
103.6107.8
Auto15.0
Teleop88.3
End10.1
red by 6.8
6041
#28
109.50.2
97.097.2
Auto12.7
Teleop89.5
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsMissed26%Face the Boss oddsMissed