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Red194
6679140.7
5118110.7
6701114.6
Blue435
6364126.8
7277108.9
3250186.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248319100200400500194435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.73.9
121.3125.2
Auto22.5
Teleop101.7
End15.3
blue by 46.0
186.73.4
154.7158.1
Auto28.0
Teleop130.3
End30.6
Second
6701
#30
114.63.0
103.6106.6
Auto16.3
Teleop85.3
End14.6
blue by 12.2
6364
#26
126.80.3
123.8123.5
Auto14.3
Teleop102.7
End10.3
Third
5118
#13
110.71.0
93.894.8
Auto15.3
Teleop82.3
End15.8
red by 1.8
7277
#22
108.90.3
96.896.5
Auto16.1
Teleop85.2
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed