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Red275
5787124.5
5078147.1
6435107.3
Blue408
2122218.6
6700116.3
6351118.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2073890100300500600275408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5078
#12
147.12.0
139.3141.4
Auto15.1
Teleop103.7
End26.9
blue by 71.5
218.62.2
201.9204.1
Auto27.0
Teleop154.1
End38.1
Second
5787
#11
124.50.9
120.5119.6
Auto17.3
Teleop90.5
End19.4
red by 6.0
6351
#17
118.51.7
109.6111.3
Auto17.9
Teleop93.5
End6.5
Third
6435
#23
107.32.7
82.585.3
Auto17.5
Teleop84.2
End7.9
blue by 9.0
6700
#29
116.32.7
107.8110.5
Auto15.0
Teleop88.3
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed26%Face the Boss oddsMissed