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Qual 342018 Canadian Rockies Regional
Red263
4733103.5
6178102.3
359201.8
Blue309
5630108.3
3250186.7
6841109.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302309280320340263309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#4
201.80.5
192.1→192.6
Auto22.5
Teleop142.3
End36.8
red by 15.1
3250
#2
186.73.8
158.1→161.9
Auto28.0
Teleop130.3
End30.6
Second
4733
#32
103.51.1
94.8→95.9
Auto15.1
Teleop77.8
End10.3
blue by 6.2
6841
#14
109.73.5
100.9→104.4
Auto14.3
Teleop86.4
End9.8
Third
6178
#27
102.30.5
93.9→94.4
Auto17.3
Teleop74.8
End11.6
blue by 6.0
5630
#33
108.30.1
110.2→110.4
Auto16.2
Teleop78.5
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed