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Red396
6041109.5
1622182.4
6679140.7
Blue199
6106139.0
5630108.3
5787124.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3662400100200300400500600700396199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.41.6
167.1168.8
Auto20.2
Teleop134.1
End29.5
red by 43.4
6106
#21
139.00.8
145.7144.9
Auto15.1
Teleop104.6
End18.5
Second
140.73.0
128.3131.3
Auto22.5
Teleop101.7
End15.3
red by 16.2
5787
#11
124.51.1
119.6120.7
Auto17.3
Teleop90.5
End19.4
Third
6041
#28
109.53.4
97.3100.6
Auto12.7
Teleop89.5
End6.8
red by 1.2
5630
#33
108.30.5
110.4110.9
Auto16.2
Teleop78.5
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed