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Red324
5015126.2
6178102.3
4775156.9
Blue174
5078147.1
460499.3
6364126.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287309100150200250350400450324174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.90.3
154.2154.6
Auto18.3
Teleop116.9
End21.1
red by 9.8
5078
#12
147.12.4
141.4143.8
Auto15.1
Teleop103.7
End26.9
Second
5015
#18
126.22.0
111.0113.0
Auto15.8
Teleop98.3
End12.9
blue by 0.5
6364
#26
126.81.0
124.3125.3
Auto14.3
Teleop102.7
End10.3
Third
6178
#27
102.31.0
94.495.4
Auto17.3
Teleop74.8
End11.6
red by 2.9
4604
#25
99.30.3
106.1105.8
Auto12.7
Teleop83.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed