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Red165
724699.9
6841109.7
6106139.0
Blue365
5787124.5
2122218.6
7277108.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2023920100300500600165365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6106
#21
139.00.8
144.9144.0
Auto15.1
Teleop104.6
End18.5
blue by 79.5
218.61.9
205.7207.6
Auto27.0
Teleop154.1
End38.1
Second
6841
#14
109.70.2
107.8108.0
Auto14.3
Teleop86.4
End9.8
blue by 14.8
5787
#11
124.50.8
120.7121.5
Auto17.3
Teleop90.5
End19.4
Third
7246
#34
99.91.1
107.6106.5
Auto16.7
Teleop73.9
End7.9
blue by 9.0
7277
#22
108.90.5
103.1103.5
Auto16.1
Teleop85.2
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed25%Face the Boss oddsMissed