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Red328
6979104.4
6435107.3
359201.8
Blue186
6041109.5
6364126.8
5015126.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3152490100200400500600700328186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#4
201.81.8
193.2195.0
Auto22.5
Teleop142.3
End36.8
red by 75.1
6364
#26
126.80.1
125.3125.2
Auto14.3
Teleop102.7
End10.3
Second
6435
#23
107.35.1
89.294.3
Auto17.5
Teleop84.2
End7.9
blue by 19.0
5015
#18
126.22.8
113.0115.8
Auto15.8
Teleop98.3
End12.9
Third
6979
#20
104.43.7
109.8106.1
Auto12.8
Teleop81.0
End12.2
blue by 5.1
6041
#28
109.54.1
100.6104.7
Auto12.7
Teleop89.5
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed