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Red232
460499.3
6435107.3
3011119.5
Blue299
6188125.7
6679140.7
5787124.5
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1763730100300500600232299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
119.50.7
115.3116.1
Auto20.4
Teleop93.2
End6.2
blue by 21.2
140.75.2
135.2140.4
Auto22.5
Teleop101.7
End15.3
Second
6435
#23
107.34.4
94.398.6
Auto17.5
Teleop84.2
End7.9
blue by 18.5
125.72.3
122.3124.6
Auto21.2
Teleop86.1
End20.0
Third
4604
#25
99.33.1
103.1100.0
Auto12.7
Teleop83.2
End7.2
blue by 25.1
5787
#11
124.50.8
121.5122.3
Auto17.3
Teleop90.5
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed