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Red301
6188125.7
2130178.5
5015126.2
Blue313
3250186.7
6351118.5
1482116.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3423050200400600800301313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.51.1
168.8169.8
Auto22.9
Teleop128.7
End29.9
blue by 8.2
186.72.8
173.0175.7
Auto28.0
Teleop130.3
End30.6
Second
5015
#18
126.23.1
117.4120.5
Auto15.8
Teleop98.3
End12.9
red by 7.7
6351
#17
118.51.3
113.6114.9
Auto17.9
Teleop93.5
End6.5
Third
125.71.4
124.6126.0
Auto21.2
Teleop86.1
End20.0
red by 9.4
1482
#19
116.40.8
112.9113.7
Auto13.8
Teleop90.4
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed