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Red151
6679140.7
6178102.3
6106139.0
Blue329
6700116.3
3216124.5
6435107.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3292570100200300400500600151329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.73.2
140.4143.6
Auto22.5
Teleop101.7
End15.3
red by 16.2
3216
#10
124.53.4
115.9119.3
Auto15.7
Teleop98.9
End10.6
Second
6106
#21
139.00.1
141.7141.7
Auto15.1
Teleop104.6
End18.5
red by 22.7
6700
#29
116.31.9
113.7115.6
Auto15.0
Teleop88.3
End10.1
Third
6178
#27
102.31.1
102.2103.3
Auto17.3
Teleop74.8
End11.6
blue by 5.0
6435
#23
107.32.6
102.8105.4
Auto17.5
Teleop84.2
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed