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Red149
442103.7
5721108.7
6404135.4
Blue283
538107.4
4533161.0
5045128.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2433080100200400500600700149283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6404
#23
135.42.6
121.9124.6
Auto15.9
Teleop98.3
End20.8
blue by 25.6
161.013.2
89.7102.9
Auto24.5
Teleop115.7
End23.5
Second
5721
#30
108.71.3
109.5108.2
Auto19.6
Teleop79.8
End8.5
blue by 19.8
5045
#18
128.67.5
92.099.4
Auto19.5
Teleop97.4
End8.2
Third
442
#31
103.77.7
83.591.2
Auto15.9
Teleop74.4
End12.8
blue by 3.6
538
#40
107.48.0
89.697.7
Auto14.8
Teleop81.0
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed