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Red76
2973117.5
3319100.7
1369134.9
Blue304
5058102.3
3593143.5
2556143.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27729710015020025035040045076304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1369
#17
134.92.5
133.8136.3
Auto15.3
Teleop105.1
End12.4
blue by 8.9
143.82.2
133.5135.7
Auto15.0
Teleop111.1
End17.2
Second
2973
#20
117.56.1
98.1104.3
Auto16.3
Teleop89.9
End14.2
blue by 26.0
3593
#16
143.50.8
143.8143.0
Auto23.0
Teleop105.8
End14.3
Third
3319
#32
100.73.2
99.9103.1
Auto16.2
Teleop80.5
End2.8
blue by 1.6
5058
#35
102.32.2
96.298.4
Auto15.6
Teleop83.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed