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Red324
141143.5
3966117.0
4924106.3
Blue231
4306127.8
3139116.8
442103.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283258150200300350400324231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#19
143.51.5
136.4137.9
Auto18.8
Teleop115.0
End10.6
red by 15.8
4306
#27
127.85.3
108.3113.6
Auto14.5
Teleop100.4
End15.1
Second
3966
#22
117.02.3
102.1104.4
Auto17.1
Teleop91.1
End9.5
red by 0.2
3139
#25
116.81.8
101.4103.3
Auto13.8
Teleop89.6
End17.2
Third
4924
#38
106.31.1
104.1105.3
Auto17.1
Teleop79.8
End12.4
red by 2.5
442
#31
103.73.7
96.9100.6
Auto15.9
Teleop74.4
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed