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Qual 262018 Rocket City Regional
Red408
3792149.9
4965152.9
3959175.8
Blue218
7111113.8
1369134.9
2468168.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335315200250300350400450408218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
#2
175.87.5
128.1→135.6
Auto25.0
Teleop136.0
End15.3
red by 7.5
2468
#15
168.30.4
166.3→166.7
Auto22.4
Teleop125.2
End18.4
Second
4965
#9
152.91.3
138.7→140.0
Auto17.3
Teleop114.2
End19.6
red by 18.0
1369
#17
134.90.6
136.3→137.0
Auto15.3
Teleop105.1
End12.4
Third
3792
#3
149.91.6
131.4→133.1
Auto16.2
Teleop112.9
End22.8
red by 36.0
7111
#21
113.86.6
101.8→108.4
Auto16.1
Teleop89.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed