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Red379
1319140.4
3593143.5
3844123.5
Blue306
6404135.4
4087147.4
4451177.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275373200300400500600379306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3593
#16
143.50.5
143.0142.5
Auto23.0
Teleop105.8
End14.3
blue by 33.6
177.11.4
174.0175.4
Auto23.3
Teleop128.6
End21.1
Second
140.42.7
123.6126.4
Auto16.1
Teleop112.0
End15.1
blue by 7.0
147.46.8
124.1130.9
Auto17.6
Teleop113.1
End19.2
Third
3844
#13
123.50.5
112.3112.8
Auto19.6
Teleop91.7
End13.1
blue by 11.9
6404
#23
135.42.4
129.0131.3
Auto15.9
Teleop98.3
End20.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed