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Red176
6937114.5
731383.3
6404135.4
Blue312
3139116.8
4087147.4
2468168.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2283700100200300400500600176312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6404
#23
135.41.8
131.3133.1
Auto15.9
Teleop98.3
End20.8
blue by 32.9
2468
#15
168.30.3
166.7166.4
Auto22.4
Teleop125.2
End18.4
Second
6937
#37
114.55.5
97.2102.7
Auto12.9
Teleop88.6
End12.2
blue by 32.9
147.44.2
130.9135.1
Auto17.6
Teleop113.1
End19.2
Third
7313
#42
83.32.5
88.390.8
Auto10.7
Teleop71.3
End1.3
blue by 33.6
3139
#25
116.82.4
103.3105.6
Auto13.8
Teleop89.6
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed