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Red191
5005100.8
2556143.8
4924106.3
Blue275
5045128.6
5058102.3
3959175.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245309100200400500600191275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.81.3
137.3138.6
Auto15.0
Teleop111.1
End17.2
blue by 32.0
175.86.3
143.3149.5
Auto25.0
Teleop136.0
End15.3
Second
4924
#38
106.31.1
107.1108.2
Auto17.1
Teleop79.8
End12.4
blue by 22.3
5045
#18
128.61.8
114.8116.6
Auto19.5
Teleop97.4
End8.2
Third
5005
#43
100.82.3
103.0105.3
Auto15.5
Teleop75.2
End8.5
blue by 1.5
5058
#35
102.31.2
100.1101.3
Auto15.6
Teleop83.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed