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Red370
3966117.0
4533161.0
3139116.8
Blue198
585889.1
1319140.4
1369134.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2583060100200400500600370198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.03.0
138.4141.4
Auto24.5
Teleop115.7
End23.5
red by 20.6
140.43.3
129.3132.7
Auto16.1
Teleop112.0
End15.1
Second
3966
#22
117.00.6
107.1107.7
Auto17.1
Teleop91.1
End9.5
blue by 17.9
1369
#17
134.90.1
136.8136.7
Auto15.3
Teleop105.1
End12.4
Third
3139
#25
116.81.7
105.6107.3
Auto13.8
Teleop89.6
End17.2
red by 27.7
5858
#34
89.10.3
92.792.4
Auto16.4
Teleop67.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed