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Red15
7111113.8
6107104.1
442103.7
Blue334
3844123.5
5721108.7
3319100.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29422910020040050015334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7111
#21
113.84.7
115.6120.3
Auto16.1
Teleop89.1
End6.7
blue by 9.6
3844
#13
123.51.7
115.2116.9
Auto19.6
Teleop91.7
End13.1
Second
6107
#33
104.11.6
109.3110.9
Auto12.9
Teleop85.8
End7.4
blue by 4.6
5721
#30
108.70.6
108.0108.6
Auto19.6
Teleop79.8
End8.5
Third
442
#31
103.71.2
106.7107.8
Auto15.9
Teleop74.4
End12.8
red by 3.0
3319
#32
100.70.1
97.197.0
Auto16.2
Teleop80.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed