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Red420
1319140.4
4740132.2
4533161.0
Blue185
3593143.5
538107.4
5005100.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302253100200400500420185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.010.8
102.9113.7
Auto24.5
Teleop115.7
End23.5
red by 17.5
3593
#16
143.50.7
144.6143.8
Auto23.0
Teleop105.8
End14.3
Second
140.41.2
119.9121.1
Auto16.1
Teleop112.0
End15.1
red by 33.0
538
#40
107.47.3
97.7105.0
Auto14.8
Teleop81.0
End10.5
Third
4740
#11
132.27.5
88.095.5
Auto18.7
Teleop94.2
End18.0
red by 31.4
5005
#43
100.83.2
92.095.2
Auto15.5
Teleop75.2
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed