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Red316
7111113.8
3959175.8
538107.4
Blue190
342160.8
4451177.1
384395.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833420100200400500600316190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.85.7
154.5160.2
Auto25.0
Teleop136.0
End15.3
blue by 1.3
177.10.3
176.8177.0
Auto23.3
Teleop128.6
End21.1
Second
7111
#21
113.81.4
120.3118.9
Auto16.1
Teleop89.1
End6.7
blue by 47.0
342
#8
160.81.6
151.3152.9
Auto19.3
Teleop126.9
End16.0
Third
538
#40
107.40.8
112.0111.3
Auto14.8
Teleop81.0
End10.5
red by 12.3
3843
#41
95.11.1
101.1100.0
Auto15.7
Teleop77.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed