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Red290
3966117.0
3319100.7
3792149.9
Blue372
3593143.5
2468168.3
2815141.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2613700100200300400500290372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.91.5
140.8142.3
Auto16.2
Teleop112.9
End22.8
blue by 18.4
2468
#15
168.30.5
166.3166.7
Auto22.4
Teleop125.2
End18.4
Second
3966
#22
117.00.6
110.4111.0
Auto17.1
Teleop91.1
End9.5
blue by 26.5
3593
#16
143.50.0
143.0142.9
Auto23.0
Teleop105.8
End14.3
Third
3319
#32
100.70.5
98.398.8
Auto16.2
Teleop80.5
End2.8
blue by 40.3
2815
#10
141.11.7
137.3139.0
Auto16.4
Teleop103.9
End19.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed