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Red189
7026131.7
4306127.8
538107.4
Blue378
34132.0
2556143.8
2468168.3
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443690100200300400500189378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7026
#12
131.70.6
130.8131.4
Auto15.7
Teleop103.1
End11.5
blue by 36.6
2468
#15
168.30.3
166.7167.0
Auto22.4
Teleop125.2
End18.4
Second
4306
#27
127.82.2
124.4126.5
Auto14.5
Teleop100.4
End15.1
blue by 16.0
143.81.1
139.0140.1
Auto15.0
Teleop111.1
End17.2
Third
538
#40
107.41.8
110.5108.8
Auto14.8
Teleop81.0
End10.5
blue by 24.7
34
#26
132.00.1
131.2131.1
Auto15.4
Teleop101.5
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed