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Red184
2815141.1
4924106.3
7072114.4
Blue359
4533161.0
3844123.5
34132.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286277100150200250350400450184359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2815
#10
141.11.2
123.4124.6
Auto16.4
Teleop103.9
End19.7
blue by 19.9
161.016.1
73.689.7
Auto24.5
Teleop115.7
End23.5
Second
7072
#36
114.436.6
114.477.7
Auto13.9
Teleop84.4
End17.1
blue by 17.7
34
#26
132.01.9
127.5125.6
Auto15.4
Teleop101.5
End16.6
Third
4924
#38
106.316.7
67.884.6
Auto17.1
Teleop79.8
End12.4
blue by 17.2
3844
#13
123.51.4
112.5111.1
Auto19.6
Teleop91.7
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed