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Red252
4740132.2
7026131.7
5410119.5
Blue242
5721108.7
384395.1
4306127.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328249100200300400500252242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4740
#11
132.20.8
131.3132.0
Auto18.7
Teleop94.2
End18.0
red by 4.4
4306
#27
127.81.2
126.5127.8
Auto14.5
Teleop100.4
End15.1
Second
7026
#12
131.70.2
131.4131.7
Auto15.7
Teleop103.1
End11.5
red by 23.0
5721
#30
108.70.6
109.4108.7
Auto19.6
Teleop79.8
End8.5
Third
5410
#28
119.50.6
117.9118.4
Auto16.3
Teleop88.8
End16.7
red by 24.5
3843
#41
95.11.0
96.295.2
Auto15.7
Teleop77.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed