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Red262
4924106.3
7111113.8
5045128.6
Blue315
5616102.8
3966117.0
1319140.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413040100200400500600262315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5045
#18
128.60.8
126.4127.2
Auto19.5
Teleop97.4
End8.2
blue by 11.8
140.41.5
137.4138.9
Auto16.1
Teleop112.0
End15.1
Second
7111
#21
113.81.8
115.6113.8
Auto16.1
Teleop89.1
End6.7
blue by 3.1
3966
#22
117.01.4
115.6117.0
Auto17.1
Teleop91.1
End9.5
Third
4924
#38
106.30.3
105.9106.3
Auto17.1
Teleop79.8
End12.4
red by 3.5
5616
#39
102.81.4
104.1102.8
Auto12.1
Teleop79.6
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed