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Red187
3139116.8
731383.3
5058102.3
Blue434
4965152.9
3844123.5
384395.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2153260100300400500187434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3139
#25
116.82.3
114.5116.8
Auto13.8
Teleop89.6
End17.2
blue by 36.0
152.91.5
149.4150.9
Auto17.3
Teleop114.2
End19.6
Second
5058
#35
102.30.2
102.5102.3
Auto15.6
Teleop83.1
End4.3
blue by 21.1
3844
#13
123.50.5
120.7121.2
Auto19.6
Teleop91.7
End13.1
Third
7313
#42
83.31.2
84.583.3
Auto10.7
Teleop71.3
End1.3
blue by 11.8
3843
#41
95.10.2
95.295.1
Auto15.7
Teleop77.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed