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Red440
3792149.9
2556143.8
3844123.5
Blue288
4965152.9
4451177.1
5045128.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334318200250300350400450440288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.90.6
147.5148.1
Auto16.2
Teleop112.9
End22.8
blue by 27.2
177.10.3
177.3177.1
Auto23.3
Teleop128.6
End21.1
Second
143.80.3
142.4142.7
Auto15.0
Teleop111.1
End17.2
blue by 9.1
152.90.2
152.7152.9
Auto17.3
Teleop114.2
End19.6
Third
3844
#13
123.50.3
122.0122.3
Auto19.6
Teleop91.7
End13.1
blue by 5.1
5045
#18
128.60.0
128.5128.6
Auto19.5
Teleop97.4
End8.2