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Red397
342160.8
3959175.8
7072114.4
Blue246
141143.5
4087147.4
5410119.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions390269100200300500600397246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.80.6
172.5173.1
Auto25.0
Teleop136.0
End15.3
red by 28.4
147.40.1
147.1147.2
Auto17.6
Teleop113.1
End19.2
Second
342
#8
160.80.7
157.1157.8
Auto19.3
Teleop126.9
End16.0
red by 17.3
141
#19
143.50.1
143.2143.3
Auto18.8
Teleop115.0
End10.6
Third
7072
#36
114.40.3
112.9113.1
Auto13.9
Teleop84.4
End17.1
blue by 5.2
5410
#28
119.50.2
118.7119.0
Auto16.3
Teleop88.8
End16.7