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Red356
3620174.1
1756192.3
4237175.9
Blue397
4541169.2
868200.4
4003209.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338400100200300500600700800356397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.30.3
192.0192.3
Auto24.6
Teleop139.2
End31.5
blue by 16.8
209.00.1
208.9209.0
Auto22.2
Teleop161.7
End27.8
Second
4237
#23
175.90.4
175.6175.9
Auto21.6
Teleop141.2
End14.4
blue by 24.5
868
#3
200.40.1
200.3200.4
Auto25.1
Teleop145.7
End30.4
Third
3620
#16
174.10.4
173.7174.1
Auto22.2
Teleop130.4
End24.6
red by 4.8
4541
#28
169.20.0
169.2169.2
Auto20.5
Teleop132.8
End17.7