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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Archimedes Division
Red311
4541169.2
868200.4
4003209.0
Blue460
4776177.9
2200179.8
1218184.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434330100200500600700800311460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#4
209.00.2
208.6→208.7
Auto22.2
Teleop161.7
End27.8
red by 24.9
1218
#29
184.10.1
183.8→183.8
Auto20.5
Teleop136.2
End27.2
Second
868
#3
200.40.3
199.6→199.9
Auto25.1
Teleop145.7
End30.4
red by 20.7
2200
#12
179.80.2
179.1→179.3
Auto23.1
Teleop120.3
End33.7
Third
4541
#28
169.20.1
169.2→169.3
Auto20.5
Teleop132.8
End17.7
blue by 8.7
4776
#7
177.90.0
177.7→177.7
Auto19.8
Teleop132.1
End24.6