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Qual 102018 Archimedes Division
Red403
1259194.1
3620174.1
2202170.6
Blue197
6968117.3
1262180.5
5413149.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4312920100200500600700403197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1259
#30
194.11.7
188.9→190.5
Auto21.5
Teleop146.1
End22.5
red by 13.6
1262
#57
180.50.2
189.0→189.2
Auto21.8
Teleop128.1
End28.8
Second
3620
#16
174.10.5
172.4→172.9
Auto22.2
Teleop130.4
End24.6
red by 24.9
5413
#52
149.20.7
146.8→147.5
Auto17.9
Teleop110.4
End22.2
Third
2202
#26
170.61.2
170.2→171.4
Auto19.6
Teleop120.5
End30.7
red by 53.4
6968
#66
117.32.9
121.2→124.1
Auto15.2
Teleop87.5
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
45%Face the Boss oddsMissed29%Face the Boss oddsMissed