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Red205
2620117.6
870188.5
2081150.8
Blue416
2220154.3
1114226.9
2377165.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2574570100200300400500600700205416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#20
188.50.3
188.4188.6
Auto23.1
Teleop132.2
End32.3
blue by 38.4
1114
#10
226.91.5
223.4224.9
Auto23.7
Teleop172.4
End30.3
Second
2081
#60
150.81.1
151.9150.8
Auto20.1
Teleop114.4
End13.4
blue by 14.9
2377
#18
165.70.6
165.1165.7
Auto19.2
Teleop119.0
End28.3
Third
2620
#68
117.61.4
120.6119.2
Auto17.1
Teleop81.3
End14.9
blue by 36.8
2220
#15
154.30.2
154.1154.3
Auto24.2
Teleop115.8
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed30%Face the Boss oddsEarned