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Red437
6875134.9
4011146.5
868200.4
Blue302
4786163.5
1262180.5
6860103.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384320200500600437302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#3
200.40.6
197.8198.3
Auto25.1
Teleop145.7
End30.4
red by 19.9
1262
#57
180.51.1
181.6180.5
Auto21.8
Teleop128.1
End28.8
Second
4011
#42
146.50.1
146.6146.5
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End20.5
blue by 17.0
4786
#11
163.51.1
161.5162.5
Auto21.4
Teleop122.2
End21.0
Third
6875
#14
134.90.6
134.3134.9
Auto19.2
Teleop96.8
End20.7
red by 31.6
6860
#65
103.30.7
104.0103.3
Auto17.3
Teleop76.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsEarned13%Face the Boss oddsMissed