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Red394
5216157.5
303191.8
1756192.3
Blue278
6121147.4
5674167.5
58155.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4222690100200300500600394278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.31.0
187.8188.8
Auto24.6
Teleop139.2
End31.5
red by 24.7
5674
#44
167.51.6
169.7168.1
Auto19.6
Teleop122.9
End24.8
Second
303
#33
191.80.9
196.7195.8
Auto22.6
Teleop137.4
End30.5
red by 35.9
58
#59
155.90.7
155.3154.6
Auto17.5
Teleop120.5
End20.0
Third
5216
#35
157.50.1
154.6154.6
Auto16.9
Teleop120.2
End21.0
red by 10.1
6121
#38
147.40.5
141.7141.2
Auto21.0
Teleop109.4
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
41%Face the Boss oddsEarned19%Face the Boss oddsMissed