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Red142
6860103.3
2377165.7
4541169.2
Blue452
1325208.4
1259194.1
2200179.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2394710100200300400600700800142452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#28
169.20.5
169.0168.4
Auto20.5
Teleop132.8
End17.7
blue by 39.2
208.40.3
202.8203.1
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
Second
2377
#18
165.70.2
169.2169.0
Auto19.2
Teleop119.0
End28.3
blue by 28.3
1259
#30
194.11.3
190.5191.9
Auto21.5
Teleop146.1
End22.5
Third
6860
#65
103.30.2
107.5107.3
Auto17.3
Teleop76.0
End9.3
blue by 76.5
2200
#12
179.80.3
177.7177.4
Auto23.1
Teleop120.3
End33.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed68%Face the Boss oddsEarned