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Qual 212018 Archimedes Division
Red463
4557184.7
4776177.9
4003209.0
Blue283
5422124.7
1262180.5
7329138.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4412660100200300400500600700463283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#4
209.00.6
204.4→203.7
Auto22.2
Teleop161.7
End27.8
red by 28.5
1262
#57
180.50.5
189.2→188.7
Auto21.8
Teleop128.1
End28.8
Second
4557
#43
184.70.4
186.8→186.4
Auto21.5
Teleop136.0
End24.1
red by 46.5
7329
#48
138.20.7
140.3→139.6
Auto21.5
Teleop100.4
End18.5
Third
4776
#7
177.90.1
169.3→169.4
Auto19.8
Teleop132.1
End24.6
red by 53.2
5422
#62
124.70.4
117.7→118.1
Auto19.0
Teleop96.9
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
34%Face the Boss oddsEarned27%Face the Boss oddsMissed