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Red246
1262180.5
2549139.7
6329156.3
Blue410
5436176.2
58155.9
3928169.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338340250300400450246410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
#57
180.51.1
188.3187.2
Auto21.8
Teleop128.1
End28.8
red by 4.3
5436
#39
176.20.9
174.3175.2
Auto23.6
Teleop130.3
End21.5
Second
6329
#27
156.30.4
155.0155.4
Auto20.5
Teleop114.5
End23.5
blue by 12.7
169.00.3
163.2163.0
Auto23.3
Teleop124.5
End22.5
Third
2549
#58
139.70.4
139.3139.7
Auto17.6
Teleop105.4
End16.2
blue by 16.2
58
#59
155.90.3
154.2153.9
Auto17.5
Teleop120.5
End20.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
26%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed