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Red485
4521142.2
1325208.4
4776177.9
Blue224
1322162.9
555121.3
1756192.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions400319100200500600700485224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
208.40.7
203.4204.1
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
red by 16.2
192.31.1
189.6190.7
Auto24.6
Teleop139.2
End31.5
Second
177.91.2
170.0171.2
Auto19.8
Teleop132.1
End24.6
red by 15.0
1322
#13
162.91.1
156.5157.6
Auto18.8
Teleop114.6
End31.2
Third
4521
#41
142.20.4
136.4136.8
Auto17.7
Teleop105.0
End16.5
red by 20.9
555
#37
121.30.4
119.2119.7
Auto18.1
Teleop80.7
End24.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
44%Face the Boss oddsEarned41%Face the Boss oddsEarned