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Red464
1559169.5
2075168.3
6968117.3
Blue321
3618160.2
4392165.3
4096150.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2953510100200400500600700464321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1559
#25
169.50.1
162.9163.0
Auto22.1
Teleop122.8
End27.6
red by 4.2
4392
#54
165.30.9
172.6171.7
Auto14.8
Teleop133.3
End19.3
Second
2075
#22
168.30.9
166.6165.7
Auto19.2
Teleop135.3
End15.8
red by 8.2
3618
#63
160.20.2
162.7162.6
Auto21.8
Teleop121.3
End16.5
Third
6968
#66
117.32.2
123.6121.4
Auto15.2
Teleop87.5
End14.7
blue by 33.2
4096
#56
150.40.5
147.5148.0
Auto18.3
Teleop113.9
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed