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Red361
2177115.4
1756192.3
4776177.9
Blue286
2377165.7
3620174.1
67207.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3134200100200500600700800361286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.30.2
190.7190.6
Auto24.6
Teleop139.2
End31.5
blue by 14.8
67
#1
207.10.2
204.8204.6
Auto21.9
Teleop144.1
End38.7
Second
177.91.9
171.2173.1
Auto19.8
Teleop132.1
End24.6
red by 3.8
3620
#16
174.10.2
175.3175.4
Auto22.2
Teleop130.4
End24.6
Third
2177
#45
115.40.7
113.8114.6
Auto14.0
Teleop90.2
End10.0
blue by 50.4
2377
#18
165.70.3
167.1166.7
Auto19.2
Teleop119.0
End28.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
53%Face the Boss oddsMissed94%Face the Boss oddsEarned