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Red486
4003209.0
2200179.8
612172.1
Blue263
4909167.0
2202170.6
4011146.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4413110100200400500600700486263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
209.00.2
203.8204.0
Auto22.2
Teleop161.7
End27.8
red by 38.4
2202
#26
170.60.4
173.6174.0
Auto19.6
Teleop120.5
End30.7
Second
2200
#12
179.80.1
177.4177.5
Auto23.1
Teleop120.3
End33.7
red by 12.7
4909
#53
167.00.5
168.0168.5
Auto17.9
Teleop123.9
End24.0
Third
612
#49
172.10.9
169.1170.0
Auto21.9
Teleop134.9
End17.7
red by 25.6
4011
#42
146.50.5
149.4148.8
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End20.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
58%Face the Boss oddsEarned31%Face the Boss oddsMissed