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Red300
447174.2
6860103.3
5413149.2
Blue395
2075168.3
5674167.5
1322162.9
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269418100200300500600700300395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#34
174.20.3
171.5171.8
Auto20.4
Teleop127.5
End27.1
red by 5.8
2075
#22
168.30.6
165.7166.3
Auto19.2
Teleop135.3
End15.8
Second
5413
#52
149.20.2
148.3148.1
Auto17.9
Teleop110.4
End22.2
blue by 18.3
5674
#44
167.50.2
166.7166.9
Auto19.6
Teleop122.9
End24.8
Third
6860
#65
103.30.7
105.5104.8
Auto17.3
Teleop76.0
End9.3
blue by 59.6
1322
#13
162.90.4
157.5158.0
Auto18.8
Teleop114.6
End31.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsMissed84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed52%Face the Boss oddsMissed