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Red470
67207.1
5724151.0
1756192.3
Blue301
2549139.7
870188.5
4392165.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4033160100200500600470301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
207.10.7
204.6203.9
Auto21.9
Teleop144.1
End38.7
red by 18.6
870
#20
188.51.1
190.4189.3
Auto23.1
Teleop132.2
End32.3
Second
192.30.1
190.6190.7
Auto24.6
Teleop139.2
End31.5
red by 26.9
4392
#54
165.32.1
171.0168.9
Auto14.8
Teleop133.3
End19.3
Third
5724
#24
151.00.8
145.6146.4
Auto18.7
Teleop110.2
End24.9
red by 11.3
2549
#58
139.70.5
139.5139.1
Auto17.6
Teleop105.4
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
88%Face the Boss oddsEarned16%Face the Boss oddsMissed