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Red342
3620174.1
694209.3
5216157.5
Blue316
6329156.3
2200179.8
2377165.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415308100200500600342316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#8
209.30.5
208.2208.7
Auto24.8
Teleop159.5
End24.5
red by 29.5
2200
#12
179.80.5
178.0178.6
Auto23.1
Teleop120.3
End33.7
Second
3620
#16
174.11.1
174.9173.8
Auto22.2
Teleop130.4
End24.6
red by 8.3
2377
#18
165.70.4
165.9165.5
Auto19.2
Teleop119.0
End28.3
Third
5216
#35
157.50.8
155.3156.1
Auto16.9
Teleop120.2
End21.0
red by 1.2
6329
#27
156.30.1
155.1154.9
Auto20.5
Teleop114.5
End23.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
26%Face the Boss oddsMissed57%Face the Boss oddsMissed