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Red478
7329138.2
3928169.0
4096150.4
Blue216
2081150.8
6860103.3
5913140.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363299100200400500478216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.00.6
163.4164.0
Auto23.3
Teleop124.5
End22.5
red by 18.2
2081
#60
150.80.6
154.1153.5
Auto20.1
Teleop114.4
End13.4
Second
4096
#56
150.40.5
148.9148.4
Auto18.3
Teleop113.9
End17.9
red by 10.1
5913
#31
140.31.3
136.2137.5
Auto19.2
Teleop105.1
End14.8
Third
7329
#48
138.20.9
138.4137.4
Auto21.5
Teleop100.4
End18.5
red by 34.9
6860
#65
103.30.3
104.5104.8
Auto17.3
Teleop76.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed