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Red346
870188.5
4003209.0
5674167.5
Blue259
3618160.2
5913140.3
694209.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420308100200500600700346259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
209.00.1
204.2204.4
Auto22.2
Teleop161.7
End27.8
blue by 0.3
694
#8
209.30.5
207.1207.5
Auto24.8
Teleop159.5
End24.5
Second
870
#20
188.51.2
189.7190.9
Auto23.1
Teleop132.2
End32.3
red by 28.4
3618
#63
160.20.1
163.1163.2
Auto21.8
Teleop121.3
End16.5
Third
5674
#44
167.51.0
170.7169.7
Auto19.6
Teleop122.9
End24.8
red by 27.2
5913
#31
140.31.2
130.4131.7
Auto19.2
Teleop105.1
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
62%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed