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Red291
4776177.9
6875134.9
1559169.5
Blue448
6329156.3
1259194.1
5724151.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32737102006008001,000291448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.90.1
177.8177.9
Auto19.8
Teleop132.1
End24.6
blue by 16.2
1259
#30
194.10.6
194.5193.9
Auto21.5
Teleop146.1
End22.5
Second
1559
#25
169.50.6
167.9168.4
Auto22.1
Teleop122.8
End27.6
red by 13.2
6329
#27
156.30.4
154.6155.1
Auto20.5
Teleop114.5
End23.5
Third
6875
#14
134.91.2
133.1134.3
Auto19.2
Teleop96.8
End20.7
blue by 16.1
5724
#24
151.00.9
148.6149.5
Auto18.7
Teleop110.2
End24.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
38%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsEarned