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Semifinal 1-12018 Archimedes Division
Red313
4557184.7
1114226.9
67207.1
Blue527
3620174.1
1756192.3
4237175.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426333100200300500600700800313527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#10
226.90.1
226.7→226.9
Auto23.7
Teleop172.4
End30.3
red by 34.7
1756
#5
192.30.1
191.5→191.6
Auto24.6
Teleop139.2
End31.5
Second
67
#1
207.10.1
206.9→207.0
Auto21.9
Teleop144.1
End38.7
red by 31.2
4237
#23
175.90.2
174.7→174.9
Auto21.6
Teleop141.2
End14.4
Third
4557
#43
184.70.3
185.3→185.0
Auto21.5
Teleop136.0
End24.1
red by 10.6
3620
#16
174.10.2
172.8→173.1
Auto22.2
Teleop130.4
End24.6